Sunday, April 14, 2013

Gold ... and WPs for Western indices

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning April 15, 2013

Gold and weekly planets for Western indices


Gold plunged dramatically on Friday, ostensibly because Cyprus needs to unload $525 million of its gold reserves to help pay for the island's bail-out.

The plunge came only a day after Goldman Sachs urged customers to Short gold, with a target of $1450.

In the background is Germany's order to repatriate its French and USA bullion back to home soil.

Reportedly, the US Federal Reserve has told the Germans it will take 7 years to ship the 300 tons.  That's a bit odd, given the number of ships sitting idle. And it makes you wonder whether Pussy Galore could be bothered raiding Fort Knox these days.

Still, we should probably leave the conspiracy theories alone. The Spooky Stuff is quite weird enough ... and we'll be taking a look at some of that in relation to gold in a moment or two.

Meanwhile, the Wall Street stock indices play out the normal April strength while most other major world indices have been correcting for weeks.

In the coming week, the Sun, Venus and Mars all move out of Aries and into Taurus. Venus, ruler of boodle, is the only one of them literally at home in Taurus, which is a far more stable energy than the volatility of Arien fire.

I'll publish updates of planetary charts for a few of the Western indices in this edition, but we'll deal first with gold. Last week was marked in Forecast 2013 as a potential major turning point for gold prices.

And it turned out to be one where major planetary support at 1518 was broken with ease.

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I mentioned last weekend that I am indebted to American astrologer, Pat Hardy, for sharing this chart of gold, timed for the first sale of the modern era when legal restrictions on Americans owning gold were lifted. Pat runs the Energies, Trends, Cycles website at: http://www.pathardytrends.com

She produced this "birth" chart for gold trades after getting access to the hand-written logs from the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

You'll probably have to do a bit of scrolling here to understand what I'm talking about, especially if your knowledge of astrology is scant. The inner wheel contains the planets for the first trade and the outer wheel shows the current position of transiting planets.

In the slice of the pie marked with a 2, note that Uranus, the Sun, Mars and Venus were all in Aries last week opposing gold's natal Pluto at 09.13 Libra (the 8th House). Uranus in hard aspect to Pluto - a theme we've been talking about for a long time now, though in a broader context.

In the original birth chart, the Sun and Pluto are squared ... so transiting oppositions to Pluto also square gold's natal Sun at 09.33 Capricorn. And, of course, the transiting Pluto, is conjuncting that Sun. Short version ... it's all a big deal; there's a lot of volatile energy and since Uranus is in the transit mix there will be "surprise" breakouts AND breakdowns and "normal" support/resistance levels will be sliced through like warm butter.

And the volatility is not over yet, because with the Sun, Venus and Mars now moving into Taurus, they'll all oppose gold's natal Uranus at 01.52 Scorpio (9th House).

However, there is also other symbolism at work - and that relates to the position of transiting Jupiter and Saturn. Jupiter is currently finishing a transit of gold's 4th House and will move into the 5th, which is the house with general rulership of gold and, specifically, of financial speculation. It's the gambler's house ... and the FatBoy just lurvs a good roll of the dice and spin of the wheel!

Transiting Saturn is at 09.21 Scorpio in the 9th House, moving towards a conjunction with gold's Midheaven. Now, in the chart of an individual there is a time to put yourself Out There and a time when progress in the outer world is extremely difficult. The difficult time is when Saturn travels through what Grant Lewi used to call "the obscure sector" - the first quadrant of the chart from the Ascendant to the start of the 4th House.

Once it moves past the 4th House, it is a time when we make rapid progress in the world ... and, with most people, Saturn conjuncting the Midheaven means a major career peak. The reality is it's a time when we get the recognition we deserve. For a few, that can mean ... Do not pass go, do not collect $200, Go directly to jail. Saturn's like that. Hey, we're talking about an Old God who ate his own babies!

Anyway, my point here is that both Jupiter and Saturn are past "the obscure sector" and rising in gold's natal chart. While Saturn conjunct the MC gives you the public position you deserve, Jupiter conjuncting the MC suddenly brings an unbelievable rise out-of-the-blue.

So, while the current transits to gold's natal Sun/Pluto square ... and to Uranus ... predict high-levels of volatility and sudden moves, the overall symbolism from the Jupiter/Saturn transit positions means it is very unlikely gold's bull run is finished.

And now that we've reviewed les Spookies, let's look at the technical conditions, starting with the big picture view. Below is a log-scale chart of greenback gold. See the big spike on the left as American investors piled into gold once the legal restrictions were lifted.

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From about the middle of the chart, we see the modern Bull run. The first significant correction lost 22% in 5 months; the second lost 29.5% in 7 months. And for the past 19 months we've been in a sideways shuffle/correction which, at Friday's close, brought down the price by 21.7%. We've had an overbalance of Time, but not of Price - not so far!

The Canary, in this case a medium-range 20CCI, has plunged to a trough level not seen for a very long time - and I've put in a grey line so you can more easily see how this trough compares with previous ones. Taking a cue from the oscillator alone, this plunge is not finished.

So, what about the planetary charts? Well, below is a weekly. The lines currently priced at 1542 and 1518 have been important before, both as Resistance and as Support.

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Goldman Sachs mentioned a Short target of 1450 - and there is a planetary line at that level, albiet not a particularly strong one.

Next chart is the daily ...
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And the interesting thing about the daily is that despite the depth of the price plunge, the Canary has not fallen so deeply as its previous trough.

It means the probability of a bounceback is strong - but may not last long.

Okay ... onto the stock markets. Firstly, the SP500.
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We've had a breakout above the orange Node line at 1572. I had thought it would hold for a larger correction, as most other major indices have endured. But, Pollyanna is still all goo-goo/ga-ga. It's not shown on this chart, but the breakout arrived on Wednesday when overnight trade forced a gap Open above the line.

If it's a false break, Chicken Little will be back real soon. If it's not, then the index may be embarked on a run between Uranus/Pluto planetary barriers. This long-running Santa rally began with a touch of the Uranus/Pluto zone I've marked with a yellow oval at the bottom of the chart.

Along the way, it stalled at and then had a false break of Uranus/Pluto and corrected down into Saturn ... Twice; Both of which I've marked with circled 1s and 2s. So, the target for a third repeat performance would be 1608 to 1610.

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The Nasdaq 100 Weekly Planet chart is above. What we'd thought was a potential Head&Shoulders pattern developing may now have morphed into something else (as they often do!). The fast MACD though, either in its signal line peaks or the height of its histograms, grows increasingly unhappy with the rally.

Over to Germany ...
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And onto the FTSE ...
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And, finally, Auntie ... the ASX 200

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Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne
Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2013 , Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street and a posting of the weekly Eye of Ra report in this blog, titled A look at the Venus Retrograde effect
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2013

The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013
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