Sunday, May 31, 2015

Headwinds, Mercury Rx, Bradley date

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts reports and articles on his web site at  theidiotandthemoon.com   The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning June 1, 2015 

There has been little worth talking about since the last edition in April.

I indicated then that the SP500 faced strong headwinds as it ran into primary planet downtrend lines and that even if it overcame those, there was a stack of resistance to overcome in "the next 20 to 30 points"

At that time, the Pollyanna index was at $2102. It ended last week at $2107 ... after putting in some sort of top at $2134. 

June kicks off with Mercury halfway through a Retrograde phase and it's not unusual for a trend change to develop at that halfway mark.

We also have another of the year's major Bradley Model turn dates approaching, around June 8. The details of the Bradley dates were provided in Forecast 2015, which you can read, or re-read, in the Archives.

In this edition, we'll take a look at exactly how Pollyanna has been coping with the long-range planetary price lines.

And, also, how the greenback gold price is holding up.

In the April edition, I showed how the 500 had started to bump into primary downtrend lines. The track record of contact with these lines was dealt with in the March 30 edition.

We expected that price would get caught up in that downtrending planetary jumble. And it did ...
In the past couple of weeks, the index has tried to break northwards from the downward pressure, but has been unable to reach as high as strong, horizontal resistance provided by Uranus and Neptune price lines around 2140.

The Pluto line at 2084 has provided support in the past during this churning, sideways grind and should be watched closely in the days ahead.

The grind has been going on for months and it's likely that this month will see the issue resolved with either a breakout or a breakdown.

Many commentators are leaning heavily towards a breakdown. The only problem with that is when people are expecting a breakdown, the market usually bursts northwards.

In The Technical Section of The Idiot & The Moon, I showed you how to create a simple, hand-drawn trendline and use that as the basis for creating channels which can be used to forecast future price moves.

The basis is that indices and individual stocks have a strong tendency to repeat a particular angle over-and-over again and that by taking parallels of the original line you can create a reliable roadmap.

As we can see, it has been quite useful in determining the angle which is repeatedly in play for this long Bull run.


The 500 closed out last week falling off one instance of that rising angle ... and with the green Fast Bird dropping deeply, warning of the potential for more downside to come in the short-term.

Obviously, further price gains in the index are getting more and more difficult. Negative divergence continues to build in many monthly oscillators and the danger of a large correction continues to grow.

The ASX 200 has been stalled for the past 3 months at a double Fibonacci barrier and its recent price highs have arrived with negative divergence in the Big Bird oscillator. The oscillator has not yet declined below the +100 upper red line in the indicator panel and the May monthly price bar has ended in mid-range, indicating a high level of indecision between both buyers and sellers.

Now let's take a look at the price of gold measured in US dollars, starting with the daily Sun/Pluto chart.

The minor Pluto price line at $1185 continues to provide reasonably strong support, which is even more obvious when viewed on a weekly chart ...
We can see this line first came into play in June 2013. What is interesting is that each subsequent visit to this line, and the stronger, lower one around $1155, has been met with higher troughs in the Big Bird oscillator. That's positive divergence, a sign that internal strength continues to build, despite the constant shenanigans with the price, especially on the futures market.

And that positive divergence is even more obvious on a monthly Bi-BB chart, using a fast MACD as the oscillator. Pressure for a major gold price rally has been building. It's certainly worth keeping a close eye on individual gold mining stocks, especially those with a relatively low cost-of-production. 
Well, I think that's enough for this edition. As I said in The Idiot & The Moon, the smartest thing you can do in trading is shut-up and shut out the constant barrage of noise. This sideways churning is probably driving a lot of people totally nuts ... and that's not a good state of mind for making rational decisions.

Still, it has been going on now for so long that a big move, one way or the other, is becoming imminent.
Safe trading - RA
Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2015


Read Randall Ashbourne's FREE report
THE IDIOT AND THE MOON FORECAST 2015
Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, is the author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon,  Ashbourne's Galactic Trader planetary charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
The Idiot and the Moon, Compleat & Utter Lunatic Idiot's G

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Heading into a major Bradley turn date

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts reports and articles on his web site at  theidiotandthemoon.com   The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning March 30, 2015  
The coming week, heading into various religious festivals, also brings the first significant Bradley Model turn date for 2015.

The Full Moon next weekend will be a lunar eclipse ... sister of the recent solar eclipse ... and the configuration will again trigger the broad implications of the long-running Uranus-Pluto square we've talked about many times in the past few years.

Uranus and Pluto have now completed exactitude of the square for the last time, but the "orb" of the aspect will continue to linger.

Jupiter, head honcho of the Old Gods, will also be strongly influential in the next few weeks, as it goes Direct and receives a trine from the Sun. Strong Jupiter periods tend to exaggerate either optimism or fear, so we can expect some explosive moves ... one way or the other.

The period finds Wall Street's SP500 index beginning to bump its highs against some major planetary resistance and it's that we'll spend a little time looking at in this edition.

There are also updates on the ASX 200, Germany's DAX and London's FTSE

About once a year, depending on the speed of rallies or downturns, the SP500 comes into contact with primary price lines from the inner planets ... the Sun, Mercury, Venus and Mars.

In our first chart, we'll look at how these tend to impact rally phases in the index. It's a weekly price chart showing only the Sun and Venus primary lines. Price tends to rise at an angle closely aligned to the annual movement of the planets.

Sometimes price stalls and goes sideways, until it picks up a boost from contact with the next set of rising price lines.

But, what goes up must come down, at least to some degree, and our next chart shows the Sun-Venus impact on the timing and speed of major downturns and significant Bear plunges.

Contact with these downtrend planetary price lines does not always produce a major downturn. But, when one is becoming due ...

Well, the impact can be dramatic.

In our third chart, I have included Mercury and Mars into the mix and we will take a close-up view to show the sort of danger the 500 now faces if it cannot burst above the resistance of the planetary downtrend lines. What it suggests is that Wall Street is now very close to hitting a major hurdle ... a set of planetary influences which almost always produce a multi-week correction.

Our next chart shows the more horizontal price lines of the outer planets and provides the major probable targets for rallies and declines. Regular readers will have become quite familiar with these and know they provide excellent Entry and Exit levels for trades ... if the oscillators on shorter-term charts are showing distinct potential for a trend turn.

Of the other major Western stock indices, Germany is the strongest. And just maybe too strong. Its northbound breakout in the past few months catapulted it above what should have been, based on historical behaviour, a strong resistance barrier.

And our Big Bird oscillator isn't really overjoyed by the move.

While the DAX has left its two previous Bull peaks way behind, the British market continues to struggle against the long-range planetary price lines which acted as a slaughter house for the earlier Bulls.

Allow a little leeway for the posted prices because they're "wavy" and exactitude depends entirely on timing for the monthly bars.

Australia is also faltering at a hurdle ... in the ASX 200's case, a double Fibonacci Retracement barrier. The index managed to break free of the doldrums in the past few months and put on a spurt.

There is some disagreement about exactly where the current blue Fibo Rx level lies because of data differences at the 2009 low ... but all levels of the blue lines displayed below have been important during the past few years and the data difference is not really major.

You'll note that on the chart above, the Big Bird oscillator is starting to sing off-key and that it is a double Fibonacci barrier.

Turning our attention to the ASX 200's Weekly Planets chart, we can note a primary Saturn barrier not far ahead at around 6050, with a Neptune level at 6082.

Weekly Big Bird is even more distinctly off-key than his monthly version as price battles to overcome the minor Saturn resistance around 5942.

And, yes, I've been terribly slack this year ... first time in years I've been able to enjoy the southern Summer and, literally, take some time out to smell the roses.

And they smell so much better than Pollyanna!

I will try to include the Indian/Asian indices in the next few weeks.

In the meantime, just keep a weather eye on the near-term charts, especially with the Bradley date approaching (all of which was covered in the Forecast in January) and as Pollyanna bumps her silly noggin against the inner planet downtrend lines.

Safe trading - RA
Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2015


Read Randall Ashbourne's FREE report
THE IDIOT AND THE MOON FORECAST 2015
Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, is the author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon,  Ashbourne's Galactic Trader planetary charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
The Idiot and the Moon, Compleat & Utter Lunatic Idiot's Guide to Trading Stocks,

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

New Moon in Pisces and the Year of the Goat

Image courtesy of Chinese New Year 2015 Element *
The New Moon in Pisces marks the beginning of the Chinese Calendar. The exact new moon time is at 07:48 a.m. on 19-February, 2015 in China's time zone.

The Chinese calendar is based on a lunisolar year (relating to both the Moon and the Sun) - Because the first new moon after the Winter Solstice is the 12th month of the Chinese calendar year, usually the second new moon of the year in the Georgian calendar is actually the first lunar month in the Chinese calendar.  Chinese New Year usually falls in mid February.  (Even though China now uses the Georgian calendar, their new year is based on the ancient Chinese calendar.)

New Year’s Day is the most important date in the Chinese calendar, and is normally a three day work holiday, although some may stretch the holiday even longer.  Celebrations actually continue for the entire month!

Is 2015 The Year of the Goat or Sheep?   It is the Year of the Goat, but  sometimes is referred to as the “Year of the Sheep” because of confusion which stems from the translation of the "yang" Chinese character  -  which can be translated as either a goat or a sheep.

The Goat is the eighth animal of the Chinese Zodiac. Goats are resilient and create their success through perseverance; they are thought of as gentle and sympathetic, but have a strong sense of justice. According to Chinese astrologers, luck within careers will fluctuate for those born in the year of the goat and their financial fortune will be average. However, they are said to possess a power to turn their fortune around – so that when things seem bleak, their luck may change. This year looks good for health.

What is your Chinese Sign? Many Chinese Sign calculators do not account for the non-alignment of the two calendars, using Gregorian-calendar years rather than official Chinese New Year dates!

It is important to check your sign based on a Chinese calendar - you may have miscalculated your Chinese sign using a Georgian calendar! Here is a link to some interesting Chinese Zodiac trivia and a calculator to find your sign. http://www.char4u.com/content/chinese-zodiac-sign/

The Chinese 60 Year CycleAn uncomplicated explanation of the 60 year cycle - and fairly decent history of Chinese Astrology - can be found on Wikipedia:  "The 60-year cycle consists of two separate cycles interacting with each other. The first is the cycle of ten heavenly stems, namely the Five Elements (in order Wood, Fire, Earth, Metal, and Water) in their Yin and Yang forms.

The second is the cycle of the twelve Zodiac animal signs (shengxiào) or Earthly Branches . They are in order as follows: the Rat, Ox, Tiger, Rabbit, Dragon, Snake, Horse, Goat, Monkey, Rooster, Dog, and Pig. In Vietnam the rabbit is replaced by the cat.

This combination creates the 60-year cycle due to the least amount of years (least common multiple) it would take to get from Yang Wood Rat to its next iteration, which always starts with Yang Wood Rat and ends with Yin Water Pig." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_astrology "


Hope you are planning something special - 2015 New Year celebrations continue until the the moon is full, March 5!

******
THE MARKETS

Read Randall Ashbourne's latest FREE report Overview of the ASX 200

Moon phases
New Moon February 18, 2015 - 1st quarter, February 25, 2015- Full moon, March 5, 2015 - Last quarter, March 13, 2015 - Next New Moon, March 20, 2015, the Spring Equinox 
Read Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot & The Moon, eBook regarding trading New Moon and Full Moons.

Important transits this lunar month: (dates are for Eastern Time Zone)
Mar 11 Mars Conjunction Uranus
Mar 11 Mars Square Pluto
Mar 14 Saturn at 04°Sagittarius55' Stations Rx
Mar 16 Uranus Square Pluto
Mar 20 New Moon, the Sun 29°Pisces27' is a Solar Eclipse

All the best to you in this New Year of the Goat, 2015.

Wishing you Trines for the year!

Marley


* Free Download of Chinese New Year 2015 Element 21092 Wallpapers for desktop background.

Monday, February 2, 2015

Mercury Rx and the ASX 200 2015 Overview

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts reports and articles on his web site at  theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is a copy of his recent report and a link to download his ASX 200 Targets and Technicals 2015
We are currently in the middle of the first Mercury Retrograde cycle of the year.

It happens a few times, for a few weeks, each year and they tend to be periods where stock markets are choppy ... with changes in direction every few days.

Communications can easily become miscommunications during Mercury Rx ... and not because the planet is "doing" things.

Rocks and giant gas balls Out There are just ... there.

The astrological symbolism is that WE tend to become inattentive and prone to making silly mistakes during these periods.

For the moment, I have nothing to add to the 2015 Forecast published in January. However, I am slowly working on reports for individual indices and can now include the 2015 outlook for the Australian stock market.

The report includes long-range, intermediate and short-term targets and is a PDF download.
ASX 200 Targets and Technicals 2015
http://www.theidiotandthemoon.com/asx2002015.pdf 
   

NB: It contains one black chart. So don't print, without excluding that page!  

Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2015


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, is the author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon,  Ashbourne's Galactic Trader planetary charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.



The Idiot and the Moon, Compleat & Utter Lunatic Idiot's Guide to Trading Stocks,
 


Sunday, January 25, 2015

RETROGRADE MOTION, MUSINGS AND TRIVIA


It Moves Backward, you say?!?!
Of course, Mercury doesn't actually reverse it's path around the sun! Everyone knows this!

Retrograde motion is the apparent motion of a planet to move in a direction opposite to earth. It's all an illusion!

The Earth completes its orbit in 365 days (+ a few hours), which is a slower trip around the Sun than the planet Mercury has; thus, Earth will periodically overtake its orbit, resulting in the illusion of Mercury's backward motion. This happens 3 to 4 times a given year.

The outer planets don't move as fast in their orbits as Earth, but even still, when planet Earth passes their orbits it results in the same phenomenon.

The outer planets retrograde period begin and end when the planet is approximately past 120 degrees (or Trine) from the Sun. The center of their retrograde motion occurs when the planet is exactly opposite the Sun.

The inner planets, Venus and Mercury, can never be trine or in opposition to the Sun. Their retrograde cycles are tied to their conjunctions with the Sun.
When Venus and Mercury are conjunct the Sun they transition from morning star to evening star.

Retrograde Sun? You're kidding, right?
The Sun and Moon never appear retrograde from planet Earth. However, the Sun does appear to move backward from the surface of Mercury!

Interestingly, Mercury has a most eccentric orbit. (view image above)

If we were able to view the Sun from Mercury's surface, we would observe the Sun rising part way, then reverse and set before rising again, all within the same Mercurian day. Thus, to the hypothetical observer on Mercury, the Sun appears to move in a retrograde direction!

This apparent retrograde motion of the Sun from Mercury's surface occurs four Earth days before the conjunction of Mercury and the Sun; the Sun's "normal" motion resumes four days after the conjunction.

Intense Mischievousness of Mercury during Stations
The apparent motion of Mercury stopping to change direction – the station - is felt by us Earthlings more intensely than during retrograde motion. I can't help but wonder, is the retrograde Sun viewed from Mercury's surface the reason stations of Mercury are felt by us Earthlings more intensely?  Who knows?


***
RETROGRADE, JANUARY 21ST - February 11
On the 21st of January, Mercury STOPPED its forward moving direction and began to move in the opposite direction - it will do this until it will reach 01.18 degrees of Aquarius (where it was on January 5th).

The Mischievous Maker Mercury will stop again on February 11th, change direction, and begin to move forward once again. 

WHAT IS MERCURY'S SHADOW PERIOD?
The time it takes for Mercury to move between 01.18 degrees of Aquarius to 17.05 degrees of Aquarius - where it was on January 5 and return back to where it was on January 21 - moving first forward, then backward, and then forward again - is approximately 59 days. This is what astrologer's call Mercury's Shadow Period.

Astrologer's say this entire shadow period is subject to difficulties related to anything the planet rules astrologically, and we all need to proceed cautiously during this time. However, what gets everyone's attention is when it is considered actually retrograde for approximately 21 days!

It is NOT a good time to sign contracts, or purchase big ticket items if it is not something you normally do during daily activities during Mercury retrograde.  One should go about their normal course of business and daily activities of course!  But it is a time to be cautious. New, out of the ordinary, important decisions made during Mercury retrograde often come back and regrettably haunt you - and often they are reversed.

Basically, it is a good time to do things that start with “re”. Example: read, research, recycle, repair, restore, review. Now is the best time to clean up and finish up with those old projects we have been procrastinating doing, and wait to begin new projects.

Oh, and if you haven't, CAREFULLY back up your computer! Computers tend to be buggy, and crash during Mercury Rx.

MERCURY AND THE MARKET
During Mercury Rx the markets are unpredictable and volatile. Especially a few days before and after the stationing periods (when Mercury stops to change direction).

Mishaps and misinterpreted communications can happen.  And during Mercury's retrograde chances are greater that they can happen.  So be very, very careful when pressing the buy/sell button if you decide to be in the market!

Kaye Shinker used to remind us that usually about half way through the retrograde cycle you will see a change in the direction of the market only to return to where they started 90% of the time.



Read Randall Ashbourne's FREE report January 2015 Overview of the Markets, by Randall Ashbourne, author of The Idiot and the Moon

Moon phases
New moon January 19, 2015 - 1st quarter, January 26, 2015- Full moon, February 2, 2015 -
Last quarter, February 11, 2015 - next New moon, February 18, 2015 (Read Randall Ashbourne's' article, The Moods of the Moon - Trading the Mood Swings of the Monthly Lunar Cycle)

Read Randall Ashbourne's'The Idiot and The Moon, eBook regarding trading New Moon and Full Moons. (calendars are no longer available on the Astrological Investing Blog)

Astrological Calendars for 2015 are available in our Amazon Book Shop.

On your 2015 calendar, mark the New Moon and Full Moon days, and when there is long a period of time when the Moon is Void of Course.  Students at Astrological Investing have researched days when the Moon was Void of Course during trading hours, and found that 90% of the time Long Void of Course Moons indicate a volatile market with dramatic ups in the indices.

Trines!
Marley




Monday, January 12, 2015

The Idiot & The Moon - 2015, Overview, January 11, 2015

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts reports and articles on his web site at  theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is a  link to download his January 11, 2015 Overview of the markets.
"Uranus lay down with Gaea..."
The Great War of the Gods is winding down. Midway through March, Uranus will make the last of its squares to Pluto.

The two Old Gods have been squaring-off with each other since 2008, symbolising a battle
between freedom and control...

In January, 2009, I wrote an essay published on www.astrologicalinvesting.com titled: "The War of the Gods".   (click to read article)

Well, here we are now at the start of 2015, 6 years later, and the world has changed... quite dramatically.

Click to download the January 2015 Overview in PDF format, which includes:
  • Timing of major transits for 2015
  • Bradley Model forecast for 2015
  • Where the market is headed according to Elliot Wave optimists 
  • Charts using Galactic Trader 4 software showing price targets
  • Long-range technical charts for the SP500
Good luck. I wish you all a happy, healthy and prosperous 2015.

Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2015


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, is the author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon,  Ashbourne's Galactic Trader planetary charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.


Important Reading:  The Idiot & the Moon, by Randall Ashbourne 

Sunday, December 14, 2014

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning December 15, 2014 

It's time for me to take a break, so I'll take this opportunity to wish everyone a happy holiday season and, especially, a happy New Year.

Markets tumbled last week as we head into another direct hit of the long-running Uranus/Pluto square due to "finish" ... at last ... in 2015!

The key price levels for the SP500 and DAX were published last weekend, along with still-relevant Weekly Planet levels for the ASX.

Charts for the FTSE, Nifty and some other indices have also been published recently and you can find them in the Archives.

There will be no annual Forecast this year and some major changes for the Eye of Ra next year. It's unlikely the Eye will appear each weekend.

Instead, I'll probably do only one major report each month, incorporating much of the detail I normally include in the annual Forecast.

Hopefully, the changes will allow me more time just to enjoy Life ... as well as writing occasionally, in non-market report weeks, about the broader social changes being influenced by The Spooky Stuff.

Until sometime in early January ... Best wishes and thanks for your company during 2014!

 Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.

Sunday, December 7, 2014

Germany joins the USA in all-time Highs

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning December 8, 2014 
 Wall Street continues to make marginal new Highs, though the SP 500 is still shy of touching a major planetary price barrier at 2082.

 Trading on Wall Street was relatively subdued last week, despite some strong astrological aspects involving Jupiter and Uranus.

 There are more of them to come, especially over the next week when Jupiter goes Retrograde, Venus moves to Capricorn, the Sun trines Jupiter ... and we get another exact hit of Uranus square Pluto.

Europe, especially Germany, is now bouncing back from weakness earlier in the year. You might recall that some months ago we talked about the DAX running into long-range overhead planetary price resistance.

It was strong enough to send the DAX into a multi-month downfall. However, the pick-up in performance since the low in mid-October has lifted the German market back into the same territory.

European traders are hopeful that the ECB will now follow Japan, taking over monetary expansion from the US Federal Reserve.

We'll look at the key levels now.

Below is the long-range planetary price chart for the DAX. Midway through 2014, the index ran into the Pluto barrier priced in the early 10,000s, prompting a strong correction.

The index is now making another attempt to breakout northwards. At this stage, the Bird Bird oscillator seems very dubious.

The SP500 continues to fall just short of touching its overhead Pluto barrier in the early 2080s. It's entirely possible the resistance could be breached by a gap Open, opening potential targets in the 2100s.

A couple of weeks ago, we discussed the under-performance of the ASX200 and I suggested a Uranus price line, then priced at 5270 could provide a stronger level of support.

The index had a one-day dive below the level last Monday, but recovered the following morning. The weekly resistance from Saturn lines around 5382 and 5417 need to be overcome before the index has a chance of challenging the August highs. 

Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.

Sunday, November 30, 2014

Flamboyance or Fear in store this week

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning December 1, 2014 

 American stock indices changed little during last week's Thanksgiving-shortened trading.

India continues to hit new Highs, but now faces a technical challenge after the Nifty hit 8617 last week. That's a precise 100% extension of the first recovery rally from October 2008 to November 2010, anchoring the current rally from the December low of 2011.

Germany's DAX was also a strong performer last week, but many other indices mirrored the go-nowhere behaviour of Wall Street.

The SP500 is still trying to reach the planetary barrier at 2082 shown in last weekend's charts. Astrologically, we are heading into statistically negative Full Moon next weekend, but the key day in Euro-American markets is likely to be Thursday when the Sun trines Uranus, Venus trines Jupiter and Mars leaves Capricorn for Aquarius.

As we've talked about before, trines have a tendency to break barriers and Uranus, in particular, likes to break things. With the Sun and Venus both in Sagittarius interacting with Uranus and Jupiter, we would expect to see some exaggerated moves ... simply because Sadge, the FatBoy and El Weirdo never do anything with quiet good taste and discretion.

So, we're likely to see the professionals return to their desks this week, bouyantly optimistic about where it's all going ... or gripped by fear that they've run too far, too fast.

Thursday should give us a clue.

Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.

Saturday, November 22, 2014

The SP500 heading to 2082 target zone

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning November 24, 2014 
Wall Street heads into a shortened trading week, with markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and also due for an early close on Friday.

Reportedly, this is now the third-longest Bull market in modern history for American stocks.

It is surpassed only by the 1921-1929 and 1987-2000 Bull runs ... and there are some commentators who believe that we are still only part of the way through the first leg up of a new "supercycle" Bull.

Most of the Western stock indices are not quite as bouyant as Wall Street and the Nasdaq, so we'll spend some time this weekend having a close look at the technical condition of the SP500 across various timeframes, since it is a "key" market whose direction is likely to have an impact on other markets.

Astrologically, the high-energy period during mid-November had apparently little effect on stock prices, though it does seem to have raised the stakes in what is being dubbed a new Cold War between the USA and Russia.

Joe Biden was back in Ukraine last week, as he was in the weeks before the "popular" pro-Western uprising overthrew the country's Russian-backed President.

Vlad won't be happy. Sergei Lavrov thinks the USA now wants to extend regime change from Kiev to Moscow.

Now, let's take a look at the potential targets immediately ahead after Friday's boisterous gaps up in both Europe and on Wall Street. The Pollyanna index is now not far away from running into overhead, long-range Pluto resistance at 2082.

It is the Pluto line at 1878 which put an end, on a weekly closing price basis, to the recent sharp drop. The low of the drop touched the 1823 Neptune line, so it is possible, after some stalling or a correction at Pluto, that the index will make another run at achieving higher prices.

Okay, well that gets the planetary price targets out of the way. Now let's turn our attention to the technical position and we'll use one of the techniques from The Idiot & The Moon ... Bi-BB charts with a fast MACD across the three main timeframes, daily, weekly and monthly.

We'll start with the daily. Friday brought the third big Opening gap since the current bounce began. The fast MACD oscillator isn't particularly happy. The histograms have gone negative and so have the signal lines. They can stay this way for a while before a decline develops, but the oscillator is suggesting further immediate-term gains are facing headwinds.
On a weekly basis, Friday's big jump took the weekly price bar above the upper Bollinger Band. We've discussed before how breaks of the upper or lower bands tends to stall the direction of the trend-in-play, or prompt an intermediate trend change.

While the MACD histograms endorse the rally, the current peak in the rise of the signal lines is a little more muted in its enthusiasm.
A monthly version of the same technique contains enough news to please both Bulls and Bears. The MACD histograms haven't hit a new high for years and the signal lines are flat-lining.

But we should probably also note that the last two Bull peaks in the 500 didn't occur without the index touching, or breaking, the upper Bi-BB barrier ... and that there has been no monthly Close below the upper layer since the first half of 2012.
What is most interesting about the above chart, though, is November's break above the main upper tyne of the long-range pitchfork.

The Australian stock market has been going in the other direction ... and rather strongly. There is reasonably strong potential support not far below last week's Close ... the Uranus level around 5270.
Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Volatility on temporary hold

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning November 17, 2014 

 There was a muted reaction to last week's high-energy astrological aspects as many of the world's leaders joined each other for meetings in Beijing and Brisbane.

And the only Bear on show was the old Russian one ... with Europe on edge over troop movements in Ukraine, America testy over Russian flights through Central America, and Australia in a media frenzy over Vlad's "flotilla of warships" in the Coral Sea.

Most stock indices we looked at last weekend avoided direct contact with the price levels of the Mars to Uranus/Pluto contacts.

Many, like London and Toronto, did however reach the price zones of the Sun/Venus contacts with Saturn ... and they don't complete until this coming week.

We're now fast approaching the time of year when Western stock indices start moving upwards for a rally into late-December or January, though it can be delayed until after the Thanksgiving holiday in the USA.

I see little point in publishing the updates on last weekend's charts. Wall Street went nowhere; Toronto went up into the 14,800s level; the FTSE made it into the zone I'd circled; Mumbai's Nifty drifted upwards a little; the ASX200, which had been playing exactly in the Mars/Uranus/Pluto zone dropped out of it; and gold, despite some games, did manage to Close the week back above the important 1182 level.

So, now we wait to see if the Sun conjunct Saturn midweek triggers some real action from all that energy.

Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.


Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2014
 


Sunday, November 9, 2014

Kaboom! The Old Gods go to war

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning November 10, 2014 
 Volatility is about to come roaring back, as the little Gods pick sides in an all-out brawl that involves every single one of the big Gods.

We are likely to see volcanic eruptions, earthquakes and tsunamis ... either literally or metaphorically.

It begins this weekend as Venus squares Jupiter before conjuncting Saturn midweek; the Sun will make the same aspects; Mercury will trine Neptune which goes Direct next Sunday.

And Mars will conjunct Pluto and square Uranus. It is a LOT of cosmic energy being triggered over the course of the next 10 days ... and most of it will be concentrated into this coming week.

We've already had a preliminary taste test ... the Republican sweep of Congress and the Senate, the USA air attack on the IS leadership meeting in al-Qaim, the turmoil in Burkina Faso where the military (Mars) has seized control (Pluto) after a mass uprising (Uranus) ousted the President (Capricorn).

As all that energy becomes exact in the coming days, more regimes may topple, more bombs will go boom, more rebels will rise up.

Stand by for what could be one of the most "interesting" weeks of the year.

We will take a look this weekend at the exact price levels where all that energy is concentrated in a number of world stock markets ... New York, Toronto, London, Amsterdam, Mumbai, Sydney - and gold.

The Venus square Jupiter takes place on Monday in Australia and Asia, as does Mars conjunct Pluto; Venus conjunct Saturn and Mars square Uranus will occur on Thursday; Sun squares Jupiter on Friday. The aspects will occur the previous day in Euro-American markets. (This is just the way the international timezone boundary works.)

Basically, the rocket will take off ... or it will all go kaboom.

Pollyanna first ... the SP500. On the chart below, Mars is red, Uranus is green, Pluto is blue. And here's how it works. The rocket is in warp drive if price breaks through the $2057 planetary price crosssing zone. It will be heading for $2082.

But, if it gets strongly rejected from the 2050s, Wall Street may immediately go back into a strong correction.

And the reverse also applies. If Pollyanna drops to around 1990 or 1967 and starts to rise rapidly, it probably means the boosters have been triggered.

It's the same general principle on all other indices. Here's Toronto ...

Above is the weekly chart. Toronto needs to hold the 14,518 level to have a real shot at the 15,200s. The daily chart, below, provides another potential clue to which way it will all go. The Sun/Venus aspects to Jupiter and Saturn are just below the 14,800s. A strong daily break indicates the run to the 15,200s is on.

And if it doesn't break through and starts to drop, the plunge is likely to take it to at least the 14,200s.

The FTSE is next ...


If London starts the week by rising, it is likely to run into trouble in the 6650-6690 range. If it drops into the early 6400s early in the week, it could bounce. The daily chart below shows that a Sun/Venus meeting with Saturn stopped the recent drop. That was a weak semi-sextile aspect. The circled overhead one is a lot stronger in its trend-change ability.

Amsterdam ...
The AEX has been riding Venus upwards and has been stalling at a blue Jupiter. Monday will tell the story ... it will get a boost from the power of the price crossing, or close below last week's price level and be in danger of a drop.
 

Mumbai's Nifty is below. It must break above the 8486 zone by midweek for further rises. If it drops, the 8212/8234 needs to be watched carefully for Support. If the Support fails to hold, the chances of further strong downside increases substantially.

Sydney is below. The ASX200 has been stalled in the Mars/Uranus/Pluto zone for a week. The key price level to hold to provide a rally boost is 5515. There is price crossing Resistance in the 5580s.


And, finally, gold.

The weekly chart is above, showing the Mars/Uranus/Pluto price crossing levels. Our regular Sun/Pluto daily chart is below. I was always a little unhappy that gold continually bounced from the secondary Pluto line at 1182, believing it really "should" hit the primary Pluto at 1158.

It now, finally, might be getting a boost from a false break of primary Pluto, with even further support from a rising primary Sun line. But, as with the stock indices, it is likely to be impacted by this week's severe traffic jam of planetary aspects and needs to get decidedly above 1182 again before we can hope for a sustainable rally.


Safe trading - RA

Randall Ashbourne (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014


Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.


Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2014