Uranus square Pluto ... the middle hit

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning October 28, 2013

This week brings the 4th exact hit of Uranus square Pluto ... and with it, an increased danger of turning the tide.

It's not the only astro show in town over the next couple of weeks. The Mercury Retrograde phase has another 2 weeks to run; there'll be a solar eclipse New Moon next weekend; and Jupiter goes Rx in the following week.

 We'll concentrate this weekend on a comparison between the SP500 and the Dow Jones Industrials.

Miss Pollyanna, the 500, has been hitting new, all-time highs while the Dow has been lagging. It's a divergence which has to be resolved, probably sooner rather than later.

Germany's DAX index has also hit new records, along with Argentina. However, it's a very small list. And there's the worry, because the old adage insists that a rising tide lifts all boats.

That simply hasn't been true of most world stock indices since the last Bear bottom in 2009.

This week's Uranus square Pluto aspect, the 4th exact hit in a rare series of 7, is likely to mark the start of an important turning point, though it might not become obvious for a few months.

In a moment, we'll have a quick look at its impact so far ... and then examine the current, long-range state of both Pollyanna and the Dow.

In the chart below, I've marked the weeks of the three previous Uranus/Pluto squares with thick red bars. The last two coincided with peaks before the 500 went into significant declines.

So, with the potential for a top of some significance to form this week or next, let's look at the big picture technical position, starting with a weekly of the Dow.

It has remained trapped within a horizontal band since earlier in the year. What began as severe negative divergence building between price and the falling peaks of the Big Bird oscillator, could resolve itself in a breakout northwards.

It doesn't seem likely, but! We should always assume normalcy. And what normally happens if Big Bird unwinds, while price tracks sideways, is that it develops into a continuation pattern, rather than a divergence pattern.

It looks as if the decision is now extremely close. Either the price and the oscillator need to turn down - sharply - in the next week or so, or the Dow should break northwards out of the box.

Now let's turn our attention to how the Dow is performing within its monthly Bull channel. I've marked the top of the channel with a red parallel, just to make it obvious.

And what is obvious is that the Dow is a long way short of it.

 

However, that's not the case for Miss Polly!

Broadening out the picture even further, we get a sense of why the Dow might be stalling. All the professional players know exactly what the next chart means ... IF it plays out "normally".

It is a disastrous crash scenario. It's a pattern called, moderately, a megaphone; or perjoratively, the "jaws of death". Megaphone ... because the market is screaming at you to get the hell out of Dodge real fast.

The professionals know that price must break through that top trendline decisively and unambiguously if the crash scenario is to be negated.

So the question becomes ... is the Dow gathering for a decisive breakout, or is the fear of being crunched by the jaws of death already starting to weigh?

The same pattern cannot be applied to the SP500, which double-topped in 1999 and 2007, but has broken out higher on this Bull run.

Still, the Pollyanna chart is not without its own warning signals. There have been only a couple of times since the 2009 Low that Miss Polly's monthly has breached the barrier of the upper Bollinger Band, as it's currently doing in what is normally one of the year's weakest months.

We'll leave it there for this weekend. Planetary prices for Pollyanna and various other indices were published last weekend and are still valid. You can check those charts in the Archives.

I'd intended to update a few more Weekly Planets charts for other indices this weekend, but have run out of time. Hopefully, I'll be able to do it next weekend.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2013
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2013

Gold ... Gone in 60 seconds

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning October 7, 2013

Gold ... Gone in 60 seconds

Actually, it took a little longer than 60 seconds ... but not much longer.

In the early hours of the morning early last week, with most of Europe and the Americas asleep and with Asia just starting to stir, a mysterious "someone" dumped 800,000 ounces of gold contracts.

In the following few minutes, with human traders asleep and only the big boyz' computers keeping watch, the price of gold slumped. 

I'll show you the chart of what happened in a moment. I suppose there are a couple of options for why it happened.

Maybe a real, living version of Uncle Scrooge woke up suddenly, off his Prozac, and had a panic attack.

Perhaps, after the last concerted attack on the gold price, the guardians of gold deposits realised they're still hundreds of tonnes short of "finding" Germany's gold.

You know, the stuff that's supposed to be stored in Fort Knox, but which Germany was told it can't actually have back for another 7 years.

Whatever the reason, it does highlight that trading gold continues to be highly dangerous in the current climate.

One doesn't wish to become too embroiled in conspiracy theories. But seriously, who dumps that much gold at 2am unless they really want to dramatically drive down the price?

Here's a 5-minute chart of greenback gold, showing what happened. In mere minutes, gold tumbled from the 1330s to the 1280s. A lot of traders woke up that morning to find their Long gold positions had been wiped out as the plunge targeted - and triggered - their loss stops.

The bounceback has been reasonably strong, which is little comfort to those who had their profits stolen by the predawn attack, but the simple fact of the charts is that it continues to leave gold in a dangerous position.

Greenback gold remains locked in the mid-range of a downtrend channel, as we can see from the weekly chart below. The state of the 3 Canaries in the oscillator panel continues to improve.

But the gold market remains dangerous - and the swings are even wilder on individual gold mining shares.

The daily chart is below and we can see the attack forced gold out of its short-term, rising trend channel, leaving the red line, near-term downtrend angle intact.

Unfortunately, even breaking out above that near-term downtrend angle still leaves a lot of other, overhead resistance - as we can see from the next chart.

The reality is simple. Gold is still in a downtrend; attempts to "get in early" for the next rally phase leave ordinary traders vulnerable to being forced out of their positions at a loss while the big boyz' computers manipulate out-of-hours trading.

In terms of stock markets ...

We now have a small bounce into the New Moon and a potential, month-long Bradley Model trend change date last Friday or on Monday.

Obsessed with the daily squiggles, it's easy to lose touch with what is really going on. In late July, I ventured the opinion that markets were probably within a long-range topping process and that there was little upside left - and a lot of potential downside.

Let's revisit that chart to see what has happened since. Not much! I said at the time this chart was published: "But, the maximum reach for the final minor wave up in this rising leg is probably only 1.6% away. The peak of the entire post-2009 rally may be only 4.7% away."

These are long-range planetary price lines for Pollyanna, the SP500. The 1719 Pluto level was broken only briefly and marginally. You'll note this rally began last year with a downside break, of similar brief time and magnitude, of the Pluto level near 1360.

We've been discussing the strong build-up of negative divergence on weekly charts. So, at this stage, I still lean towards more chance of further downside in the next few weeks.

I'll try, next weekend, to update some Weekly Planets charts for European and Asian indices.

The ASX200 continues to hit the targets quite precisely.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2013
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2013

Beware Merc Rx spurt-and-reverse

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning July 8, 2013

"..long as Big Bird - monthly, weekly, or daily - fluctuates ABOVE
the +100 line, your Long positions are reasonably safe."
The Idiot & the Moon,  Randall Ashbourne

We should find out in the next couple of days whether the bounce in stocks is over.

There is a strong chance, at least from an astrological viewpoint, that the next downleg of the multi-week correction is due to start.

We'll look at why that might be the case in a moment. Before we do, a brief recap. In the May 27 edition, I indicated there was a strong chance stock indices had gone into a multi-week correction.

Then, in the June 24 edition, I highlighted the potential for a bounceback. There is some chance the correction is over and the bounce will continue. July tends to be a stronger month for the Wall Street indices than June.

However, there are several things happening. We are now at the midrange of the current Mercury Retrograde phase and we have discussed in the past the general tendency of markets to start a trend at the Rx date which goes into reverse halfway through the cycle, to end the period within about 1% of where it all started.

On top of that tendency, we kick off with a New Moon ... Venus trining Uranus ... and Saturn changing from Rx mode to Direct.

However, it's the combination of the potential high point of a New Moon and the Mercury Rx spurt-and-reverse tendency which poses the biggest risk to further gains in the next week or two.

Venus trine Uranus is an important aspect since Venus rules money and Uranus rules stock markets - and the trine suggests a peak of money flow into the markets.

However, it's an aspect that occurs a couple of times a year and, on its own, doesn't regularly and reliably turn markets. Nor does Saturn changing to Direct mode.

The chart below shows past behaviour of the SP500 in the weeks following Venus-Uranus trines (the blue bars) and Saturn Direct (the red bars).

There are a few instances where the trines have produced a near-term low ... a few more where they've coincided with highs ... and some which seem to have virtually no impact on the prevailing trend direction. And I'm not sure, from an eyeball glance, we can expect the Saturn change of direction to have much impact at all on stock prices.

click for larger image

Should we get the "normal" behaviour - a New Moon to Full Moon stall or decline and a reversal halfway through the Merc Rx phase - the correction should complete in the next couple of weeks.

I'll just go briefly to the ASX200 Weekly Planets chart. I used this late in May to outline what I expected would happen and, for the most part, many stock indices have followed the general pattern. Some, like Pollyanna, didn't go deep enough fast enough to convince me that the correction ended a fortnight ago.

So far, the ASX seems to be repeating the same pattern it made during the correction in early 2012 - a fast plunge south followed by several weeks of bouncing around within a relatively narrow range.

There was negative divergence in the oscillator peak at the index price high and we're now seeing it start to record some positive divergence. But we can't be sure the correction is finished until we see a clear weekly close above the Saturn line in the mid-4800s.

click for larger image

I've put the opinion in the past few weeks that I think this correction IS a correction ... and that it's the last major one before Western stock indices make their final price high before a Bear market resumes.

And the reason I think the final Bull high is not yet in is the state of the oscillators in the chart below. Last year, I had expected markets to top out with Jupiter in Taurus. That has been a very strong tendency for many decades. But I did indicate there was what I called an "elephant in the room" threatening to poop all over my Bear rug.

It was the lack of negative divergence in the Big Bird ... the long-range Canary ... the 50CCI. It is the blue line in the oscillator panel and I highlighted the negative divergence obvious at the 2007 highs with the complete lack of such a signal during last year.

However, we are now seeing what is probably the start of such a set-up ... and I do emphasise the word "start" because topping tends to be a process, rather than an event.

The blue line Big Bird has started to roll over and there is a strong chance now that a new price high would occur with a lower peak in that oscillator. We're already starting to see it with the two faster Canaries. The medium-range Bird, the red line, actually peaked in March ... and the short-range green line peaked-out in January.

click for larger image

 We're also starting to see the same signatures in other indices. Below is the long-range planetary price chart for Germany's DAX. Price has fallen into a Neptune/Pluto range which put a stop to the two previous Bull runs ... and the Big Bird oscillator is rolling over quite distinctly.

click for larger image

And it's pretty much ditto with London's FTSE in the chart below. The important point to remember here is that the danger of a new Bear getting underway is relatively muted until the Big Bird loses the +100 upper red horizontal in the oscillator panel.

Check it out for yourself in each of these charts - including the ASX200 Weekly Planets. So long as Big Bird - monthly, weekly, or daily - fluctuates ABOVE the +100 line, your Long positions are reasonably safe. But! Once that barrier is broken to the downside, any plunge has a tendency to accelerate sharply.

click for larger image

And that's why I've been nagging you lately to go through your portfolio stocks very closely and, at the very least, put rigid loss stops in place.

I think the danger sirens are starting to wind-up. I seriously doubt we're at the stage where we need to run for the bomb shelters ... or get the hell out of Dodge. But, as we can see on the Pollyanna chart, two of the Canaries have started to croak. They're very much the early Birds.

But that's why we keep them ... to give us early warning that the internal strength of the Bull is starting to wane much more obviously than appears on the surface.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2013 , Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street and a posting of the weekly Eye of Ra report in this blog, titled A look at the Venus Retrograde effect
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2013

The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013

• Major trend change dates for the full year, plus a month-by-month breakdown of high-energy trading dates and critical reversal dates.

• An index-by-index analysis of Moon Trading across major American, European, Asian and Australian stock indices-

• Identifies the major indices where following the phases of the Moon can dramatically cut profits, or even result in large losses.

• Old Gods & Gold ... a Eureka! discovery about exactly what drives gold prices during rallies and corrections and charts showing highly-reliable target levels to both the upside and downside.

These price charts are individually-tailored to each index and cover Wall Street, Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai, India, England, Germany and France.

You will not see these charts anywhere else on the Internet!

And much more...

It is NEVER too late in the year to have this monthly information!

Reviewing the correction ... and long-term

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning July 1, 2013

"Some lessons are very s-l-o-w-l-y learned!"

Late in May, I indicated there was a strong chance stock markets had gone into a correction mode likely to last for several weeks.

In some markets, the correction has been deep and steep; in others the decline has been shallow. Too shallow, in fact - both in terms of time and price.

But regardless of that, we may have reached bounce levels across most of the major world indices.

Last weekend we reviewed the potential for a major trend change to develop this month - if indices continue to follow the major turning points indicated in this year's Bradley Model major dates. If you haven't read it, you can review the edition by scrolling down or clicking here.
This weekend, we'll be taking a look at the status of the current correction and looking again at where we are in a long-range context.

I indicated last weekend that Pollyanna, the SP500, was giving relatively clear signals that we are now probably within the process of topping out the Bull run which got underway in 2009.

At this stage, that's still my view. But, we'll begin this weekend by looking firstly at where we are within the correction.

In late May, I warned against short-term traders taking the usual Long trades between Full Moon and New Moon. I wrote: "Polly has been rising in a clear channel since the Santa Claus rally got underway late last year. A breach of the upside channel line, with negative divergence in the oscillator, puts the index under threat of a retreat to retest the lower trendline."

And so it came to pass ...

Polly spiked briefly down through the lower trendline on Thursday before bouncing strongly on Friday, the last trading day before the New Moon.

click to view larger image

Full Moons are the heavy blue candles, New Moons the red ones. We got a clear V-turn in the oscillator, as we did at the three previous corrections within this rising channel.

But, there's a difference ... two of the price/oscillator turns arrived at Full Moon bottoms and the third one arrived with a 1Q Moon. This bounce has arrived right on New Moon timing, when markets statistically are most bouyant. It's not unusual for rallying markets to continue rising in the statistically negative period between NM and FM, but the rises do tend to muted, at least most of the time.

So, the Friday bounce could be short-lived. We need to pay close attention to price reaction on Tuesday and Wednesday when Venus opposes Pluto and squares Uranus.

In the late May edition, I used a chart of the ASX200 as proxy for what I thought was happening and said: "Technically, it appears to be a high-level Wave 4 underway. This is the last major correction before the final rally of a Bull leg."

I had expected the Elliott Wave Theory of "alernation" to come into play - that the correction could drag out in terms of Time, without necessarily losing quite as much in Price as did the first similar-level correction within the rally out of the spike lows in August/October, 2011.

Wrong! The ASX, and some other indices, just kept diving!

click to view larger image

If this is a high-level Wave 4 correction, it has overshot the Wave 2 decline into June 2012 in terms of Price, but not yet of Time. And the index has breached the important Weekly Planets level at 4744.

That does set up the potential for a bounce from here, even in the face of the negative tendency of the NM-FM phase. It took a few weeks of bouncing about for the last correction of this level to get enough traction to start rising again. Whatever happens, the Weekly Planets price targets for a bounce are clearly marked and likely to be significant.

Now, let's turn our attention again to the bigger picture ... and we'll begin with a look at Pollyanna's long-range monthly. Those of you who've read The Idiot &The Moon will know that one of the techniques outlined in The Technical Section deals with how a particular stock, or index, will repeat the same angles of trend over and over again.

The chart below is simply a slight variation on that theme. I've taken the angle of the current Bull run and applied it to the two previous ones, rather than the other way around - just to see how this one is performing in comparison with the other two.

We can see fairly quickly that this Bull is more like the blow-off Tech Bubble run into 1999/2000. The 2002-2007 Bull run oscillated around this angle, rarely getting too far ahead, or too far behind the trendline.

The earlier bubble run soared away from the line and had deeper corrections to reconnect ... as has this one. The second thing to note is the thin red line connecting the 1999 and 2007 Bull peaks. And that's what Miss Polly came down to retest last week.

click to view larger image

The third thing on the chart to consider is the state of the long-range Canary - the Big Bird. I've inserted a black vertical into the price of the two previous Bull peaks and at the current May peak in Pollyanna. And I repeat the point I made last weekend. The Canary is not dropping off its perch.

The negative divergence build-up going into the first Bull peak developed over a long period. There was a shorter, but nevertheless clear, warning at the 2007 peaks. And, at the moment, we just don't have it for the current Bull run.

Now, let's review where we are in terms of Polly's long-range planetary price markers. I confess I had fully expected Pollyanna to go into a major swoon and exit the stage for a major Chicken Little performance as the index hit the levels between 1464 and 1519.

I'm a fool. Not an Idiot ... because The Idiot and Big Bird continually disagreed with my "astrological expectations". What can I say? The Idiot and that bloody Bird are always a lot smarter than I am!

click to view larger image

Yes, yes. It's enough to give one the ... uhm, irrits. The truly sad thing is that even knowing The Idiot and Big Bird are smarter than I am, I still make that fatal trading error of "thinking" ... even after having gone to the trouble of putting it all in a book so that I, and you, would just shut-up and do what our charts tell us to do, rather than trying to anticipate them. Some lessons are very s-l-o-w-l-y learned!

Ah, well. No time to wallow. Let's take a quick look at the long-range planetary charts for the FTSE and the DAX.

Germany is behaving like Pollyanna, trying desperately to hold onto the long-range breakout level.

click to view larger image

While London went into a deeper dive ...

click to view larger image

Next weekend we'll have another look at what's happening with the Asian indices.

Overall though, we can see that stock indices have declined into apparent bounce levels. Shallow, but obvious, in the case of Pollyanna and the DAX. Deeper, but still obvious, for the ASX and FTSE.

The Bradley Model suggests markets should continue their rally phase into later in June.

And personally I believe that what is "normal" is that indices are now within a topping process where we are going to get jerked around for a few months ... before the Bear comes back. This certainly appears to be a Bernanke-blown bubble. Every piece of bad economic news is greeted as good news because benign Ben will stretch out his QE4-ever program.

I think we getting a taste of it. The slightest hint that the Fed might pull back, and the addicts suffer withdrawal shakes. However, I reiterate my earlier point. "Thinking" just isn't the best tool for trading stock markets. Trendlines, an Idiot and a silly bloody Canary tend to be a lot better at it.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2013 , Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street and a posting of the weekly Eye of Ra report in this blog, titled A look at the Venus Retrograde effect
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2013

The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2013

• Major trend change dates for the full year, plus a month-by-month breakdown of high-energy trading dates and critical reversal dates.

• An index-by-index analysis of Moon Trading across major American, European, Asian and Australian stock indices-

• Identifies the major indices where following the phases of the Moon can dramatically cut profits, or even result in large losses.

• Old Gods & Gold ... a Eureka! discovery about exactly what drives gold prices during rallies and corrections and charts showing highly-reliable target levels to both the upside and downside.

These price charts are individually-tailored to each index and cover Wall Street, Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai, India, England, Germany and France.

You will not see these charts anywhere else on the Internet!

And much more...

It is NEVER too late in the year to have this monthly information!

Astrological Investing New Moon forecast for the New Moon in Taurus, May 9, 2013

Astrological Investing New Moon forecasts show general trends and financial outlook for the month. The New Moon in Taurus,May 9 2013  - Chart from the point of view of Wall Street and the NYSE.

The New Moon in Taurus, May 9, 2013 - Chart from the point of view of Wall Street and the NYSE. (Click for larger image)
 
Markets pushed to record highs.  The strength of last month's new Moon in Aries in the first house, together with The Promise of the Spring Equinox chart, (Read The Spring Equinox, March 20, 2013) could not be undone by ominous daily transiting aspects.  Investors largely ignored events that could have brought out the bears in full force - though we saw some volatile days - market analysts remarked how it was a "stock market rally on steroids." Well, from my perspective, that's a pretty good description of an Aries driven market.

Regarding Venus in Aries, I wrote in last month's newsletter, "You will see investors selling more risky small and mid-cap stocks and buying DOW stocks".  The Russell 2000 (small-cap index) had the biggest declines on days when markets pulled back, and compared to the S&P and the DOW, the Russell is playing catch-up.

The New Moon in Taurus is a Solar Eclipse, following a Full Moon Lunar Eclipse which happened on April 25. It will be followed by another Full Moon Lunar Eclipse on May 25.  We are in a "season of eclipses", ....Click to read this article in full on the astrologicalinvesting.com web site. 
On the web site, read about eclipses and how they will impact the market.  Also, what houses the planets are transiting and the interpretation of the planets in the houses.

A very important word to the wise: Jupiter is at 19° 22' degrees of Gemini - past the mid point of 15°. A new Jupiter cycle begins June 27, 2013, when Jupiter enters the zodiac sign of Cancer. Stocks in the new Jupiter favored sector of Cancer will begin to lead the market.

If you don't know where to find stocks governed by the zodiac sign of Cancer, let Grace Morris help you. Astro Economics Stock Market Newsletter does the research for you. "LEADERS CHANGE AS NEW CYCLE BEGINS ... The new leaders will come from the new favored sectors such as Home Building, Real Estate, Restaurants and more. A full list in next month’s issue.." Grace Morris

***

When reading the newsletter on the web site, be sure to take note of the Moon Phases section and get the "Head's Up" - upcoming astrological events list.  Click to read newsletter


Moon Phases
FORECAST 2013 has an index-by-index analysis of Moon Trading across major American, European, Asian and Australian stock indices showing variations in the performance which can help traders time Entry and Exit levels for greatly enhanced profitability - the analysis also identifies those of the major indices where following the phases of the Moon can dramatically cut profits, or even result in large losses.

Read Randall Ashbourne's 2011 article, The Moods of the Moon - Trading the Mood Swings of the Monthly Lunar Cycle

Safe Trading! Marley

The New Moon In Aquarius, February 10, 2013

Astrological Investing New Moon forecasts show general trends and financial outlook for the month. The New Moon in Aquarius, February 10, 2013  - Chart from the point of view of Wall Street and the NYSE.

Chinese New Year
 Year of the Water Snake 

The second New Moon after the Winter Solstice marks the beginning of the New Year in the Chinese calendar - it typically occurs in either late January or early February.
Chinese year names are repeated every 60 years; this cycle began February 2, 1984 - The Year of the Water Rat. Each New Year has a FULL name, consisting not of only animal names, but include element names.
Simplifying year names, people tend to say "Year of the Snake" (or whatever animal name), leaving off the element name. However, the element name is important and distinguishes the year as well. An uncomplicated explanation of the names and the Chinese 60 year cycle - and fairly decent history of Chinese Astrology - can be found on wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_astrology

2013 is the Year of the Water Snake. 2013 New Year celebrations continue until the the moon is full.

The New Moon in Aquarius, February 10, 2013 - Chart from the point of view of Wall Street and the NYSE. (Click for larger image)

Read the article, Just Another Winter's Solstice The Solstice chart gives us an astrological reason and understanding as to why Congress and the President finally passed legislation in the 12th hour to avoid the fiscal cliff. However, the problem of sequestration cuts and the debt continues...

Now, as the market deals with the result of January's Mercurial New Moon in Capricorn, we will in all probability see the market zigzag its way through February - until the energy of the Aries Equinox presents itself and the potential possibilities for the next season begin to unfold.
 An Astrological Trip Around the New Moon in Aquarius Chart

New Moons are a time of hope and optimism - we have been through the darkness and have come to the light at the end of the tunnel. It is typically a time when the market is up regardless of the trend.

There is still an air of hope and optimism lingering from the energy initiated in the Solstice chart, which continues to influence the market through March. And Neptune in Pisces doesn't like facing harsh reality... but we can't continue to kick the can down the road. Surely? Can we? 

The New Moon (Sun/ Moon) Neptune, Mars, and Mercury, are located in the Third house. Neptune, Mars, and Mercury are conjunct in Pisces - square Jupiter, the chart ruler. The New Moon always brings the matters of the house it resides in to the forefront. This stellium of planets in the third house suggests a very busy month filled with distractions and an emphasis on a LOT of talk.

With Mars conjunct Neptune and Mercury, what to do about gun control and safety in schools is the focus, while the elephant sits unattended in the room largely unnoticed.

Mars in Pisces conjunct Neptune square Jupiter - Neptunian energy works to dissolve boundaries. Mars' impulse is To Act - yet the impulse to act in the sign of Pisces is at the mercy of the emotional undercurrents of the moment.

Pisces is represented by two fishes swimming in opposite directions. Mars in Pisces Square Jupiter can bring the markets soaring up, or crashing down. And it is probable whatever direction the market takes on the Friday before the Sunday of the New Moon, will go the opposite direction the Monday day after, as Venus squares Saturn.

On the web site, read:  Uranus in the fourth house sextile Jupiter, Jupiter in the sixth house near cusp of 7th sextile Uranus, Saturn in the eleventh house sextile Pluto, Pluto in the first house, and Venus in the second house square Saturn.

Click to read this article in full on the astrologicalinvesting.com web site.  Read the interpretation of the planets in the houses, the Moon Phases section and get the "Head's Up" - upcoming astrological events list.

Moon Phases
FORECAST 2013 has an index-by-index analysis of Moon Trading across major American, European, Asian and Australian stock indices showing variations in the performance which can help traders time Entry and Exit levels for greatly enhanced profitability - the analysis also identifies those of the major indices where following the phases of the Moon can dramatically cut profits, or even result in large losses.

Read Randall Ashbourne's 2011 article, The Moods of the Moon - Trading the Mood Swings of the Monthly Lunar Cycle

Trines,
Marley

Elephant poop on a ragged Bear rug!

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning September, 17 2012

Are we there yet? That's the question on everyone's lips after Uncle Ben surprised most of us with an open-ended QE3.

The decision sent most world markets on a rocket ride to new highs - right into the statistical high of a New Moon and what I described last weekend as the "potential positive" of a Venus trine Uranus aspect.

We'll spend some time this weekend trying to divine the answer from the omens of the planetary charts and the technical conditions.

Based purely on what is "normal" for the latter, the answer to the question is: No!

But we may have reached a stalling point. Markets have a statistical tendency to decline between the New Moon and the next Full Moon and the coming week has some negative astrological aspects which may impact on further gains.

Pluto resumes Direct motion; we have the second exact instance of Uranus square Pluto; and late in the coming week, the messenger of the Old Gods, Mercury, will bring news related to the symbolism of that aspect by squaring Pluto and opposing Uranus.

But. As longer-term readers will know, I've been worried most of the year by "the elephant in the room" - the total lack of negative divergence in the long-range Canary oscillator (the 50CCI). We'll have a close look this weekend.

For the past few weeks, we've been looking at potential upside targets in various indices and I'm sure some of my Old Gods charts have shocked a few technical readers who don't really want to "believe" the position of the planets, translated to price, sets reliable targets.

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And yet, here we go - again. 1468 was set as the target last week for any further rally and Pollyanna, the SP500, obliged with an overshoot to 1474 before settling into a Close of 1465.

I introduced you to one of my private ASX200 charts in the past couple of weeks.

And ...

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So, both of these indices behaved in a normal way in terms of these planetary charts ... hitting, or slightly overshooting, the target level before backing away to finish the week slightly under the levels. We'll review the position of other indices in a little while.

But the theme of this week - in an attempt to answer the question - will be to look closely at the long-range Canary to see if that damn elephant is going to continue pooping all over my now very ragged looking Bear rug!

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A few weeks ago, I showed this monthly chart of the 500, indicating the index seemed to be making what is called an Ending Diagonal pattern. A final overshoot outside the lines of the wedge is not unusual for an ED pattern.

The problem, as I still see it, is that there is NO negative divergence in the 50 CCI. I've marked the state of the oscillator at the 2007 topping process with a yellow oval. The Bear did not emerge until there was a clear divergence ... a lower peak in the Canary, while price made a new (and final) high.

Now, clearly there is no divergence current in the oscillator at this time. In fact, the higher peak in the blue line endorses the legitimacy of the rally, regardless of what we might think of Benzedrine and SuperMario stimulus.

And the Canary's sweet-singing approval is also obvious in Germany's DAX.

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Again I point out the very obvious divergence displayed at the 2007 topping process ... a divergence that is very obviously NOT present at current price levels.

So, until the bird starts to sing off-key, we need to stay open to the idea that there are higher targets which will probably be hit.

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The Neptune line Miss Polly hit last week is an important one ... especially since it was a lower version of this planet which put a stop to the drop in August/September/October of last year. You'll also note the months of stalling at the unbroken Neptune line at 1411. It's worth tracing both the 1411 and 1468 lines back to see their impact during the 2007 topping process in this index.

Still, the Pluto line at 1522, or the Node at 1578, may be the final targets for this Bull run - and we need to continue watching closely to see if divergence appears in the oscillator should the index hit either of those levels.

Now, remembering there is no divergence in the DAX long-range Uranus chart above, it would be unusual for that index to not hit its upside Weekly Planets targets. Not necessarily immediately, but certainly before we can be certain that "we're there yet".

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Let's have a look now at London's FTSE. Showing the following chart last weekend, I said: "A long-range technical chart for the index shows price obeying the confines of a triangle, jumping from the uptrend line and stalling at the downtrend angle. As price gets forced into the business end, it will have to breakout, or break down. The reason I cannot rule out the former is the state of the long-range Canary, which is recording higher peaks even though price has not done so. There are a couple of horizontal technical levels which have "history" and are worth watching closely."

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Again, there is a long build-up of divergence as the FTSE went into its 2007 peak ... and there is currently nothing but positive confirmation from the oscillator. In fact, we have the reverse position. The oscillator is indicating that price is dragging its heels and has higher to run.

I published a long-range planetary chart for the index last weekend and you can have a look in the Archives; below is the FTSE's Weekly Planets chart for the intermediate moves.

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There is one FTSE chart which indicates a correction may be about to begin.

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I mentioned the New Moon and the Venus trine Uranus aspect last weekend as Spooky Stuff positives. Friday's big gap-up took the index to a precise meeting with the Venus/Uranus price crossing point. It's difficult to know how much weight to give that since the aspect took place on Thursday, not on Friday.

If the index had closed above the exact price crossing point, higher prices immediately would be virtually assured. But failure to breach the level is a potential warning sign of lower prices just ahead.

Below is the Nifty 50's Weekly Planet charts with updated targets.

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And, finally, we'll go to my home index, the ASX200. If you want to go back to the private chart I showed earlier, you'll see I've added the next level of upside targets. I explained the basis for this chart over the past couple of weeks, so check the Archives. Auntie's Weekly Planets targets are listed below.

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And since I've published long-range planetary targets for Pollyanna, the FTSE and the DAX over the past few weeks, here's the big picture possibilities for the 200, a Neptunian index.

The logical side of my brain thinks the 4770 target is impossible. The higher peak at lower price state of the Canary seems to think my brain doesn't actually have a logical side!

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So, there you have it. Some indices have hit important planetary targets fairly precisely - and did it when the lunar phase and astro aspects were in a very, very good mood. The astrological weather now has storm warnings with Mercury (news) at odds with the huge negative potential of another exact Uranus/Pluto hit this coming week.

But, the Big Bird thinks that while Price may be getting damn close to its final peak in some indices for this Bull run, Time may not yet be ready to comply.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's article, Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street and a posting of the weekly Eye of Ra report in this blog, titled A look at the Venus Retrograde effect
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2012