Crash through or crash ... Mars/Saturn

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com  The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning August 18,  2014 

 Well, the snugglepuss session with Venus and Jupiter making kissy-smoochy in Leo is almost over.

Now the wicked warrior is heading for a confrontation with the old guy who eats children ... and Venus will throw a hissy fit with both of them.

As expected, stock markets had a nice lull in the developing storm last week as the Prince and the Showgirl headed into their leonine love-in and the general tendency for a price rise into the aspect held firm.

Now we need to think about whether such grand passion can last. Mars, in Scorpio clothing, is heading for a conjunction with Saturn. This won't be pretty. Think ... Cesare Borgia and the "charm" of a King Cobra off for a little chat with the King of Naples. Soon to be the dead, former King.

Venus will make a tense square aspect with both of them ... and the Sun leaves sunny Leo for picky Virgo, where he'll oppose Neptune.

Now, these key aspects pack enough power to turn the markets again. They're not happening this coming week, but the following one.

Last weekend, I published a chart showing the general tendency for stock prices to rise into the annual Venus-Jupiter conjunctions. Now let's take a look at the historical track record of Venus square Saturn, Mars conjunct Saturn and Sun opposed Neptune, marked below with blue, red and green bars respectively.

The other reasonably significant astrological event is that Mercury moves into Virgo this weekend. It's indicative of a mental shift, a change in thinking from grandiose speculation and bold statements to a much more measured outlook and demands for real, hard, actual evidence.

As in ... You can say you bombed a secret Russian convoy, but now it's time to show-and-tell, not just bluff, bluster and try to bravado your way through. And that's not just a matter for little Mercury. The Sun opposed Neptune may well see a "big lie" exposed for all to see.

Still, enough with all of that. Time for some techie stuff. And since it has served us none too shabbily for the past few weeks, let's return to the Dow Jones Industrials daily. I've gone back to the really basic. As expected, the Dow had a better week and managed to climb back above the orange horizontal.

But! The bounce was not enough to get the Dow back inside its longer-term rally channel. So far, it's only a retest of the rising channel's bottom line.

And ditto at a daily level for Pollyanna, the SP500.

Okay, now let's return to some specific planetary price levels. I said last weekend: "I'd have thought she (Pollyanna) should be able to climb above Mars in the coming week, and if she does, we need to watch how she handles the $1958 Node price line." If you recall, the falling Mars line was priced at 1940 for last week. Polly regained it and on Friday attempted to break through the 1958 level. And failed.

Let's hop across the Pond and consider the state of the FTSE. I've shown you the long-range planetary price chart for the German DAX a few times recently.

London made a retest of the 6526ish planetary price level during the August spike down and has bounced again.

What worries me about the bounce, though, is its weakness. I've marked the general area of this very long sideways shuffle with a couple of thin black horizontals, which also cover the previous Bull peaks.

But the Big Bird oscillator is getting very unhappy.

Okay, the ASX200, which enjoyed a stronger love-in bounceback than most other markets. As with the Dow and Pollyanna hitting either planetary price lines or technical trendline levels, the index now has to crash through ... or face the prospect of at least a mini-crash developing.

And gold. Spikes to the topside, spikes to the downside. A shiv into the Bears one day, a skewer into the Bulls the next. Personally, I remain long-range bullish and short-range totally relaxed. And bored by the games.

Safe trading - RA

 (Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2014

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, and The Idiot and the Moon, Forecast 2014, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.

Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's The Idiot and The Moon, Forecast 2014  

  Purchase Forecast 2014 and receive a special report on GOLD   

The New Moon in Leo, 2012

Astrological Investing New Moon forecasts show general trends and financial outlook for the month
The New Moon in Leo, August 17 - Chart from the point of view of Wall Street and the NYSE.
Try to drive a race car with the parking brake on.
How fast can you go?

Mars conjoins Saturn August 14th, and the co-rulers of this New Moon chart - Mars and Pluto - are not in good condition. There are serious difficulties suggesting problems that will undoubtedly affect the US market this month.

Read this weekend's Eye of Ra Report - "High-energy aspects will hit mid-week, week beginning August 13, 2012, or read it on this blog

August finds most of us looking forward to cooler weather, the next season, and children going back to school. Uranus is in the fourth house of the Summer Solstice Chart (click to read article) suggesting the unusual, disruptive, and destructive weather we have been having. This will continue throughout the rest of the summer.

An Astrological Trip Around the New Moon in Leo Chart

In Mundane Astrology the first, fourth, seventh and tenth houses are most important, with the tenth house having a special reference to the ruler of the country, the government in power, and the national honor and reputation of the country.

New Moon in the tenth house, sextile Mars and Saturn
When a lunation occurs in the tenth, it is favorable unless afflicted by aspects to Mars, Saturn, or the outer planets. With a sextile to Mars and Saturn there is opportunity for the Obama administration to exert greater power, but this does not garner him any popularity.

The last exact aspect the Moon makes before entering the zodiac sign of Virgo is the sextile with Mars at 1:54 pm - meaning, the last hours of the trading day of the NYSE the Moon will be Void of Course. The market becomes unpredictable during a Void of Course Moon. Anything can happen.

Mars is conjunct Saturn in the twelfth house - Very problematic.
This conjunction occurs every two years, often twice in the same sign. The last Mars-Saturn conjunction took place at 0° Libra. On the positive side, personally, this astrological energy provides self discipline and diplomacy, negatively it is frustrated energy that builds and finally explodes. In mundane astrology it suggests serious national difficulties and discontent, exerting its strongest influence on countries ruled by the sign - in this case, Libra. Modern mundane astrology ascribes China to Libra.

Riots, crimes, murders and outrages increase. The government in power may act autocratically.

Saturn in the twelfth house, having special reference to conspiracies, secret enemies of the government, hospitals, and prisons, suggests unpopularity of government officials, heads of state, prominent national figures and a loss of national prestige.

Mercury in the ninth house near the MC - An increase in commerce and shipping.

Venus in the ninth house square Uranus and opposing Pluto.
We will experience the energy of this aspect two days BEFORE the New Moon as volatility in the market on the 15th and 16th. Along with the conjunction of Mars and Saturn on the 14th, the last days before the New Moon are filled with tension and stress which will impact the market negatively.

Venus in the ninth house with difficult aspects will produce problems possibly involving foreign trade, taxation of exports/imports and scandals, which may involve diplomats, and important religious and legal persons.

Jupiter in the eighth house - Increase in tax revenues.

Neptune in the fourth house - A fluctuation in political feeling. Failure and discredit to prominent people in government.

Wet weather may relieve areas in need of rain.

Pluto square Uranus - this is the astrological theme of the summer.
Though not exact until September, this waxing aspect is heating things up. In the USA, political parties will officially nominate their presidential candidates at conventions - the Republican National Convention, during week of August 27; the Democratic National convention, during the week of September 3, 2012. With Pluto and Uranus in cardinal signs, what we are experiencing is ruthless, negative campaigns and rowdy demonstrations. The 2012 campaign season has candidates themselves throwing punches.

Pluto in the third house - The powerful shift of favored sectors is strong -
Railways, shipping, telephone services, and all matters under the influence of Gemini will become the talk of Wall Street.

Uranus in the fifth house - Volatility in the market, traders do the unexpected.

***
Commentary - At astrologicalinvesting.com we teach financial astrology as a timing tool to use. Reading a mundane horoscope for the lunar month gives us a broad picture of the astrological landscape we expect to encounter during the month. However understanding the potential of planetary cycles and what the technical charts tell us is our best bet for successful trading. We need to see the whole picture.

Randall Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect - Each weekend, my associate, Randall Ashbourne writes a stock market forecast in his Eye of Ra Report on his web site, www.theidiotandthemoon.com. The information on the web site is free, I hope you take advantage of the valuable information he shares in his books and on the web site.

Moon Phases (for our subscribers who trade using phases of the Moon) New Moon August 17 - 1st quarter Moon, August 24; Full Moon, August 31; Last quarter Moon, September 8; Next New Moon, September 15.

Note: New Moon periods tend to be a positive time for the markets, often coinciding with temporary highs relative to the direction the market is trending. There are many of you who have been trading with the phases of the Moon and having much success; and you know by reading Randall's The Idiot and the Moon that there are times when it doesn't always work out that way! (Read Randall Ashbourne's article, The Moods of the Moon - Trading the Mood Swings of the Monthly Lunar Cycle be sure to purchase his eBook, The Idiot and the Moon)

"..The New Moon in Leo has a much higher than expected correlation to short-term trading troughs, from which the DJIA tends to rally..." Raymond Merriman, in his book, The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing -Solar/Lunar Correlations to Short Term Trading Reversals

"Moon in LEO - Is the sign of speculation and gambling. Once again, the “mood” shifts and some market will move. It won’t necessarily be stocks, because Leo rules gold." Randall Ashbourne, in his article on the blog, Using Daily Aspect Calendars to Time Intraday Trades

HEADS UP! - Upcoming astrological events

August 14, 15, 16 - Two important transits coming up are Mars conjunct Saturn August 14, and Venus in a T-square with Pluto and Uranus. As I stated in the New Moon chart interpretation, "volatility in the market on the 15th and 16th. Along with the conjunction of Mars and Saturn on the 14th, the last days before the New Moon are filled with tension and stress which will impact the market negatively."

Jupiter is now in Gemini - Important reading, Randall Ashbourne's article, Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street Studies have proven that stocks in a sector ruled by the zodiac sign that Jupiter is transiting in do well, and stocks that are ruled by the zodiac sign that Saturn is transiting in pull back. Now is the time to look at stocks that typically do well when Jupiter is in Gemini. In September we need to reevaluate Stocks in the Scorpio sector as Saturn ingresses into Scorpio October 5.

Astro Economics Stock Market Newsletter does the research for you! Regardless if it is a Bear or Bull market, there are always stocks that outperform. Gemini sectors include Advertising, Media (including social media), Telecommunication, Transportation (airline, railroad, truck & auto), Education, Leisure, Travel, Retail-Internet, Technology and Information Services.

From Grace Morris' Astro Economics August Stock Market Newsletter
"WATCH FOR NEW LEADERS TO EMERGE We are in a new cycle (Jupiter in Gemini 6/12/12-6/26/13) so it is time to watch new leaders emerge as favored sectors change. Some leaders have already begun to advance...
Although grocery stores today carry these products, the businesses that concentrate on healthy and organic seem to have an edge. Foods fit in the previous Jupiter in Taurus cycle but organic fits in the new mutable Jupiter in Gemini cycle which includes the sign of Virgo with its emphasis on healthy."

Grace Morris' trading edge in predicting the next set of favorable sectors is using planetary cycle analysis. Also, using Value Line and the Investors Business Daily as tools her recommended stocks are those favored sectors. Click to purchase Grace Morris' Astro Economics Stock Market Newsletter

Other resources - Michael Munkasey's Company Data Complete data - IPO dates and dates of incorporation on all the stocks in the NYSE.  

Safe Trading! Marley 
 
Read the New Moon Newsletter at www.astrologicalinvesting.com/html/newsletter.html

The New Moon forecast does not get posted until the day of the New Moon. The next New Moon will be: New Moon in Virgo, September 15, 2012.    Don't wait to read this newsletter on line! 

Subscribe to our newsletter if you would like to receive the next forecast before the next New Moon.  Announcements are delivered along with the Astrological Investing New Moon Newsletter before the new moon is posted to the web site and the blog. Click to subscribe to the newsletter.


Marley

High-energy aspects will hit mid-week

Randall Ashbourne, an associate of Astrological Investing, posts a weekly market report on his web site, theidiotandthemoon.com The following is this weekend's Eye of RA report: Week beginning August 13, 2012 


Stock markets are due for a date with destiny this coming week with a high chance of breakout ... or breakdown.

Mercury's return to Direct motion last weekend did bring a stop to the spurt-and-reverse cycle.

However, markets did not follow the pattern of ending the Mercury Retrograde period with prices near to where they were when the Rx cycle started.

Instead, they continued a slower grind higher. It was an outcome we anticipated last weekend - largely because of the state of the oscillators on weekly charts for the SP500, the FTSE and the ASX200. I remarked: "So, we have a situation where the normal Mercury Rx mode should bring prices down again by midweek, but the technical picture across three indices points towards further intermediate gains and the potential for a retest of last year's Highs."

In the coming week, there are high-energy aspects involving Venus, Mars, Saturn, Uranus and Pluto likely to provoke a sudden and significant shift.

And there's a New Moon, which leans towards a statistical high.

More significant, though, is a Mars conjunction with Saturn.

In astrological symbolism, Mars is energy and drive. If you want a feeling for how Mars works ... it's a bunch of NASA boys pumping the air with their fists as they parachute a 1 ton dune buggy onto the surface of a distant planet so they can go hooning around in a hot rod on the pretext of discovering the meaning of life.

Saturn is the brick wall. A very solid, very reinforced brick wall. Symbolically, on Wednesday, the "drive" is about to hit a brick wall. At the same time, Venus will oppose Pluto and square Uranus.

Venus, as the ruler of both Taurus and Libra, symbolises the "value" of things. In Taurean mode, the value relates to material things; while in Libra, the value relates to the "worth" one puts on close "others" - a partner, good friends ... even enemies.

So, the value of material things - money in the form of currency and stock values - goes into open conflict (the opposition) with big debt and government intervention (Pluto in Capricorn) and challenges the status quo (Uranus in Aries).

In a nutshell, we have energy now in play which can force a breakout to unexpected highs ... or a complete breakdown. One would expect the latter course.

However, I continually stress the need to make a clear distinction between astrological expectations and technical conditions. It's why last weekend we spent some time looking at intermediate and long-range charts for potential upside barriers, even though the Bradley Model and my own Forecast predictions pointed strongly towards Bear mode.

This weekend, we will go through the exercise again, especially since the Venus and Mars transits are likely to provoke a strong move in one direction or the other.

We'll begin by revisiting a chart which has been used quite a few times in the past few months.

click for larger image

For quite a long time, I maintained only two black horizontal lines on this chart - with the upper line at the 1370 level. Firstly, a statement of the obvious ... the SP500 is still in a multi-year uptrend, riding the diagonal blue channels. It has broken above the 1370 level, which was the large spike down which provided the last low before the high and collapse in late 2007.

I've now added a third black horizontal and quick reference to past prices, indicates it's a very important marker. I also draw your attention to the state of the long-range Canary. Its current peak is lagging behind the price action. It means if we get a higher high, or even a double-top, and that negative divergence display continues in the oscillator, markets are finally set up - technically - to go into freefall. The technical set-up is what has been missing all year ... what I've described a number of times as the elephant in the room, trumpeting the real potential for higher prices than the astrological predictions expected.

Our next chart is Pollyanna's weekly Bi-BB. When I used this chart last weekend, I said: "On a technical basis, the chart suggests a new High is probable, rather than merely possible. The fast MACD looks healthy enough ... and the candlesticks are leaving long tails, indicating Bullish buyers step in just as the Bearish crowd threatens to take command." 

click for larger image

Last week's end of the spurt-and-reverse cycle did push price higher - back into the highest tier of the Bi-BB layers, and with no faltering of the fast MACD signals.

The bad news for the Bearish expectations can also be found in a monthly version.

click for larger image

The primary difference between the weekly and monthly Bi-BBs for the 500 is the relative state of the fast MACD. On the monthly, each price peak has brought a significantly lower peak in the height of the histograms and continuing weakness in the state of the signal lines.

However, the recovery of the upper tier on both charts certainly points to the potential for a breakout above last year's highs before markets roll over for another Bear phase.

I used weekly and long-range planet price charts for the three indices last weekend and you can consult the price levels in the Archives if you need to, since we'll concentrate on technical charts this weekend.

click for larger image

I should, though, show you what happened with the Mercury Rx cycle. The last two of them are marked with the black verticals. We know from Pollyanna's long-range planetary price chart that there's a strong barrier around 1413 ... I pointed out a couple of weeks ago the index has a habit of travelling within Mercurial corridors (the pink lines on the chart above) and last week's prices were contained by a Mercury line.

And price is also knocking its head against an overhead trend channel line.

So, breakout to higher prices does seem unlikely. It's not something we'd expect. However, the technical conditions of the two Bi-BB charts highlight the potential for the unexpected and unlikely to actually occur - and give price targets if it does occur.

click for larger image

That potential is also endorsed by another version of a 500 daily chart. I've been chatting recently about the tendency of this index to run in 30 calendar day cycles once a trend enters cyclical mode. Allowing just a little leniency, we had - starting from the left - a 30 day high-to-high; a 60-day high-to-low; and then two highs coming in on the next 30 and 60 day markers, leaving the possibility that this rally from the early June low could run out to a total of 90 days.

We also discussed the importance of the 1391 level and how it would be rejected strongly on the first hit of that "last low before the high" price.

However, just as with the long-range chart earlier and the breaking of the 1370 August 2007 spike down price, a decisive second penetration of the barrier opens up a stronger chance of challenging the old highs.

There's not much point in going over the same ground with other indices this weekend. Breakout seems illogical; more central bank goosing of the stock markets at these levels seems mad beyond belief. These price levels were deemed to be irrational when times were good. At a time of massive and still-growing debt, unemployment levels at critical highs, and banks facing the risk of collapse, it's a party that should end badly. Very badly.

The reality check could arrive this week with the Venus and Mars aspects.

Safe trading - RA

Astrological Investing's associate, Randall Ashbourne, author of the eBook, The Idiot and The Moon, writes a free weekly column titled, The Eye of Ra on his web site in  which he explains the potential impact of astrological aspects and the current state of technical conditions. Ashbourne's charts are revealing illustrations of exactly what has occurred in the market and the probability of what to expect.
Important reading:  Randall Ashbourne's article, Jupiter's cycle and its effects on Wall Street and a posting of the weekly Eye of Ra report in this blog, titled A look at the Venus Retrograde effect
(Disclaimer: This article is not advice or a recommendation to trade stocks; it is merely educational material.)
Copyright: Randall Ashbourne - 2011-2012